Chapter 2706 Impossibility and Possibility 1
Shigetaro Yoshimatsu is very open-minded about this point. To be honest, under the current circumstances, before the warships and new aircraft carriers ordered by Japan are in place, how much will it cost if the U.S. fleet takes the time to visit New Guinea? You can make some money, but it doesn't depend on your will. This is just like, in War 3, if the opponent's Wolf Cavalry runs away, and you don't have the means to retain troops, then it will definitely be your loss!
However, Shigetaro Yoshimatsu said that this kind of loss can still be tolerated. After all, the amount of ammunition carried by the U.S. fleet is limited, and a considerable part of armor-piercing bombs must be reserved to deal with naval battles. Then the actual attack effect will be average. Before the war, the Japanese Considering this situation, many facilities are outside the range of naval guns, or in the upstream area of the river estuary, so that battleships cannot reach them. This is the so-called stop loss in disguise! Although the U.S. fleet is powerful, they do not have the ability to continuously replenish ammunition for the capital ships to attack continuously. Therefore, they basically just hit a wave and leave. There is no way to leave, there is not enough ammunition and fuel!
And this is also the reason why Sims did not choose this sure-profit tactic in the end. In his opinion, the targets along the coast of New Guinea were nothing more than worthless, meatless to eat and tasteless to discard. And even if the Japanese-controlled areas of New Guinea are dealt with, the British can still deliver supplies to the Japanese army from British New Guinea.
"But the question is, if the US fleet chooses to attack New Guinea, they can bypass the Bismarck Islands and attack the eastern part of New Guinea. It is further away from us and it is too late for us to reinforce. Why do they have to come to the tower? Where is the Lao area? This approach of seeking far away from the near makes me wonder, or do they appear here for us to discover on purpose?" At this time, Betty spoke. And his words hit the crux of the problem to a certain extent. Wouldn't it be better to attack the eastern part of New Guinea? Why do Americans choose riskier and longer routes?
"It really makes no sense for the Americans to do this. We need to find a suitable reason for the US fleet to appear here." Shimamura Hayao agreed with Betty's words.
"First of all, what we can confirm is that the only purpose of the US submarine's actions during this period is to determine the situation of the combined fleet. Well, based on this. We next infer that the US fleet appeared near the Talao Islands , and if you make preparations to go south, what will you do, Commander Motaro Yoshimatsu?" Betty asked.
"I have said before, first use the land-based aviation power of Guinea Island to consume, and then the combined fleet will attack." Shigetaro Yoshimatsu said.
"So what if the Americans make a false shot, attack a certain location on New Guinea, and then shrink their troops and wait for us on our way south?" Betty put forward another point of view, and this point of view is also logically reasonable! That is to say, the Americans still plan to attack the Japanese fleet!
First of all, it needs to be explained that even during the war, Japan began to prepare for the Pacific War, even though the Japanese received a large amount of material and technical assistance from the British.
But the Japanese Naval Air Force at this time was far from what it was in the heyday of the British Royal Navy! You know, the latter had more than 3,000 aircraft of various types and more than 100 airships in its heyday!
Although their strength is far less than that of the British Royal Navy, the Japanese are responsible for an area much larger than the North Sea. Think about it, the area of the Sulawesi Sea alone is almost the same as the North Sea. Therefore, Japan's aviation power was concentrated in several major theaters, namely the southern Philippines, New Guinea, and Kalimantan. There are huge gaps in Japanese naval aviation power between these theaters. Therefore, if the Americans choose to ambush the Japanese navy in a certain gap, the scene of the battle between the two sides will definitely make the Japanese feel devastated! There is no future for fighting in a relatively fair situation.
"Well, it is indeed possible." Thinking of this result, Yoshimatsu Motaro also felt very nervous. "In this situation where the enemy situation is still uncertain, I think the combined fleet should be more cautious. We can even move the fleet to the north of the Philippines. After all, the losses in New Guinea are tolerable, but the heavy losses of the main fleet are The gain outweighs the loss.”
"Of course, if we determine that the size of the U.S. fleet is not as big as we thought, we can take the initiative at the right time. After all, there are many old-fashioned dreadnoughts in the U.S. fleet, and their speed and The condition of the ship will not be very good even after repairs, so the Americans may not take these old ships to participate in this battle." Shigetaro Yoshimatsu added.
"So if there is a problem with our guess, this fleet is not the main fleet of the US Navy but just a squadron, then what should we do? Or, their target is not the Davao area or New Ireland, but Kaliman What should I do about the island?" Suzuki Kantaro finally asked.
"If it is just a squadron, then we can use a fast fleet to pursue it. As for your second point, I personally think it is unlikely. First of all, if they pass through the Sulawesi Sea, their voyage will be greatly extended. Su The length of the West Sea of Rawai is 840 kilometers from east to west, and a round trip alone is nearly 1,700 kilometers. Although American battleships have a speed of 10 knots and a range of 8,000 nautical miles, destroyers absolutely cannot have such a long range. Even transport ships in the fleet have such a long range. It is still difficult for a large-scale fleet to enter the Sulawesi Sea. After all, the distance is too far. Not to mention that if you want to attack the southern part of Kalimantan, the range will be increased by thousands of kilometers. Old capital ships and light warships simply cannot It cannot be supported, and if only some warships enter the Sulawesi Sea, then the Americans will have no combat advantage. If they fight us in our deep areas with a fleet that is not superior in strength, isn't that looking for death?" Yoshimatsu Motaro rejected his subordinates' idea.
Shigetaro Yoshimatsu’s idea is also very reasonable. You know, 8,000 nautical miles at 10 knots seems sufficient, but in fact, if you want to increase the speed to 14 knots, the speed will only increase by 1.4 times. , but the fuel consumption per unit time may increase by 3 times or even more! The relationship between this speed and fuel consumption is not linear. For example, the historical Emden, if it sailed at an economic speed of 12 knots, consumed only 2 tons of coal per hour, but if it sailed at an economic speed of 23 knots, it would consume 2 tons of coal per hour. The hourly coal consumption is as high as 15.7 tons, the most economical range is 5,700 nautical miles, and the highest speed range is only 1,200 nautical miles!
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