Chapter 2283: Crown Prince and Grand Duke Three
"For example, the most important reason for the alliance between Britain, France and Russia is because they have vested interests. What about the alliance between Germany and Austria? It is because we all want the colonies, and we all want to get a share from the Russians! Our interests It’s all about Europe.”
"And what about us and Japan? Geopolitically speaking, our core interest circles are Europe, Africa, and West Asia. Japan's sphere of influence is the Far East. We must devote our strength to our core interest circles. Crossing the ocean has had a major impact on the situation in Europe. You can see Japan’s support for the Allied Powers this time. It is completely in the attitude of doing business. Overall, I feel that the Allied Powers have lost. The direction that both sides value is not the same. Same, how to coordinate the interests within the alliance? The distance between the two sides is too far, we can’t take care of each other at all, at least Japan has no ability to take care of us, so what’s the point of our alliance?”
"Let's look at the history of Japan's prosperity. In less than 20 years, the Japanese have experienced four major wars, and will experience a fifth war in the near future. No modern country can survive such fierce wars. Even if it is not a military failure, the consumption of the war will eventually wear down the country! For example, Napoleon, when he was strong, the whole of Europe trembled under his feet, but the French First Empire lasted only a few days? Similarly, Napoleon III , in the Crimea, the French fought the Russians, then in Italy, the French fought the Austrians, then went on an expedition to Mexico, and finally fought us, then you know the final result."
"Even though it is the German Empire that claims to achieve unification with iron and blood policy, we have only fought two main battlefields, one is the Austro-Prussian War and the other is the Franco-Prussian War. And the two wars ended very quickly. Then, the German Empire In the past few decades, they have used their own military power very carefully. The loss of national power in modern wars is very huge, unlike the so-called Seven Years War and the Thirty Years War in Europe in the past. Since the Napoleon era , A country that has been abusing its military power will eventually fail! This is an iron law! The Russians are actually like this."
(Of course, the wars referred to here must be large-scale wars, such as the British war against colonies, which is generally not counted, but the Boer War is an exception. After all, in this war, the British spent more than 200 million pounds in war expenses ! And the Boer War did have a debilitating effect on Britain.)
"In this world, any country, even if it is extremely powerful like Victorian England, it is impossible for it to wage large-scale wars endlessly. Napoleon is like this, and Russia is like this. So why is Japan spared? In just 20 years In one year, there will be five major wars! Such a country that wages wars crazily has no future, and at the same time, it is beyond our control." Ruprecht said.
"We can agree with Austria-Hungary on many issues, such as limiting Austria-Hungary's ambitions for the Balkans when the empire is not ready. As our ally, Austria-Hungary is controllable and will not However, Japan is absolutely uncontrollable, and it will even kidnap its allies. I believe that when the Philippine naval battle broke out, Britain would definitely not be willing to conflict with the Americans, but when the Japanese When the naval guns fired the first shot at the U.S. Navy, everything was different! Britain was kidnapped by Japan! This led to the U.S. standing on the opposite side of the Allied Powers. Imagine if the U.S. sided with the U.K., what would we do in this war? What kind of situation are you facing?"
"The victory of the war is only the first step in the rise of the empire. In the next 20 years, the integration problem we will face will be more difficult than the war! At this time, how could we interrupt us because of the recklessness of an ally? plan? So,
For Japan, I don't have the slightest sympathy, and I don't think it is necessary to form an alliance. If an alliance is formed, Japan's ambition and courage will expand unusually, and this expansion will be disastrous for the development of the empire. Believe me, the so-called diplomatic warnings to the Japanese are of no use, only the sword can keep them honest! said Ruprecht at last.
Ruprecht has made it very clear that whether it is from the reality or from the analysis of Japan's national strength and strategic goals, whether it is an alliance with Japan will not have a major impact on the overall situation in Europe. Subjectively speaking, Japan pays more attention to its interests in the Far East. For example, during the Great War, Japan took advantage of the European War to directly swallow up half of the Dutch East Indies. It would not consider the so-called European allies at all. Benefits, the so-called help is all about the face of money! Well, for such a guy whose strategy is contrary to his own and is useless at the same time, does it make sense to form an alliance with him? Obviously not!
From a strategic point of view, after the alliance is formed, it is necessary to assume the obligation to share the results, and Japan has no benefits except for all kinds of troubles caused by various blind actions. Look at Germany, Austria, and Italy. At the beginning of the war, Italy took a wait-and-see attitude. When the war came In the later period, Italy tried to negotiate with Germany and Austria to participate in the war, but Germany and Austria politely refused, so what is it willing to do? Not to mention that Italy itself is disgusting as a speculator, and more importantly, once Italy joins the war, it will inevitably become a member of the distribution of the fruits of victory. Deo can solve the problem by himself, so why add another person to get a piece of the action? If this is the case in Italy, then joining forces with Japan will not be worth the candle!
Ruprecht has two requirements for allies. The first point is that they can indeed help in Europe, Africa, and West Asia. And another point is controllability! A runaway scumbag is more troublesome than a powerful enemy! And these two points are not available in Japan at all!
"I understand what you mean." Ruprecht has made the reasons very clear, and these reasons are enough to convince the Grand Duke and the Kaiser behind him. And even if the Grand Duke of Baden disagrees with the Crown Prince's statement, it is of no use. The reason is simple. Crown Prince Ruprecht of the Kingdom of Bavaria and the Austro-Hungarian Empire can completely influence the diplomatic strategies of Germany and even the Allies. Maybe the Crown Prince supports it. It may not be passed, but if the crown prince objects, then it must not pass... Therefore, there is no need for the Grand Duke of Baden to continue to struggle with things that are destined to fail.
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